Among NPR’s “provocative predictions” for K-12 education in 2015:
Interest in school choice will grow.
I predict that in 2015, recognition will grow for the idea that “public” education means publicly financing K-12 education, but means providing instruction in a wide-variety of settings: charters, private schools, online options and more.
Fellow, Heritage Foundation
Blended learning in public schools is here to stay.
… Blended learning — coupling technology based-instruction with live instruction — is evolving from an idea that was mostly hype to a daily practice for students in all kinds of public schools.
Bellwether Education Partners, a nonprofit consultancy
Game-based learning will expand.
… A simple example would be a game like Jeopardy [where teachers can write their own answers and questions] — but a smarter version of that….
Professor at Temple University and an expert on game-based learning
No Child Left Behind (NCLB) is back, and The Daily Caller has some predictions.
The law, passed with bipartisan support in 2001, is now almost universally seen as broken thanks to mandating standards, such as universal proficiency in math and reading, that have proven impossible to reach. Dissatisfaction is so high that Arne Duncan’s Education Department has virtually suspended much of the law by handing out legally dubious waivers from its tougher requirements.
In 2015, however, there are promising signs that the partisan gridlock that prevented any update to the law may finally be breaking down. Sen. Lamar Alexander, who will be taking over the Senate’s education committee, has declared an NCLB update his top priority, and he wants to attack the issue fast, potentially having a bill up for debate before the end of January.
The most obvious change Alexander could pursue against NCLB is the scaling back or elimination of the “adequate yearly progress” requirement, which severely sanctions schools that aren’t quickly progressing towards universal proficiency. …
Another change Alexander could pursue is a major reform to NCLB’s oft-criticized standardized testing requirements. … If they do, they’ll face initial opposition from President Obama, who has defended annual testing as an essential accountability measure. Even if Obama is opposed, though, Republicans will have an unlikely ally in strongly-Democratic teachers unions such as the American Federation of Teachers, which have loudly called for testing requirements to be changed.
From the right, Alexander will be pressured to take things further, and reform NCLB in order to substantially reduce the federal government’s role and influence over public education (some have proposed letting states opt out of federal control entirely)….
Cynicism compels me to agree with this prediction that we’ll see more of the same tired rhetoric, but not much improvement.
I suspect that with the rumored reauthorization of ESEA that we will see an anti-testing narrative, but the entire system will still be tied to testing. [Politicians] will talk about teacher quality, but we will see a renewed emphasis on sending the least qualified candidates (such as Teach For America) to teach primarily poor children. They will talk about local control and will tweak accountability formulas, but the educational system will likely still be controlled in a top-down fashion instead of a bottom-up approach like California recently introduced for school finance. They will talk about turning around 1,000 schools, when in fact very few of the schools stay “turned around” because the poverty in the communities and special learning needs of the students are not being addressed. In essence, our politicians will give us more of the same failed education policy in 2015, while calling it a new direction and/or reform.
Julian Vasquez Heilig
Professor of Educational Leadership and Policy Studies, California State University, Sacramento
“Kindergarten Entry Tests And More Education Predictions for 2015”, NPR, January 3, 2015.
Blake Neff, “These Will Be The Five Biggest Education Issues Of 2015”, Daily Caller, January 1, 2015.